Will Avengers Endgame: Encore be the US box-office #1 that weekend?

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YES if Maxime is still an active contestant in Koh-Lanta All Stars no later than 11:59:59 PM CEST on October 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Eliminations by public vote or duel, eliminations via exile/banned-island mechanics, or formal withdrawals/medical evacuations count as not competing. • If the most recent episode before the deadline ends on a cliffhanger and the elimination is deferred to a later episode after the deadline, this resolves YES. • Temporary medical checks that do not result in an announced removal count as still competing. • Source: TF1 and mainstream French TV press (Le Figaro TV Magazine, Télé-Loisirs, Puremédias).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tvmag.lefigaro.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 125 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledConsidering the timeline and Maxime's current status, the odds favor him still being in the competition. Unless there's an unexpected twist, he should make it to October 15.

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