Will the Worlds 2026 Play-In draw be published on October 10?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 23The market pays yes if, as of 12:00 PM on 23 September 2026 France time, Camille is still an active contestant in the current Koh-Lanta All Stars season, meaning she has not been definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated in any episode broadcast in France on or before that time, judged from TF1 broadcasts and the show’s official pages and corroborated by mainstream French TV press. The most recent episode aired before the cutoff was Episode 5 on 22 September 2026, which ended with Charlotte eliminated, and contemporary French TV reports list Camille on the Taboga tribe with no record of her withdrawing, being medically evacuated, or being eliminated through that episode. Because those facts show Camille remained in the game at the cutoff, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled87%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent French outlets reporting on the episodes broadcast through 22 September 2026 consistently show that Camille remained in the game. Episode 5 (broadcast 2026-09-22) — which is the latest episode aired before the 2026-09-23 12:00 CEST cutoff — ended with Charlotte definitively eliminated; programme-tv.net explicitly describes the vote (a first-round tie that included two votes against Camille, followed by Charlotte being eliminated in the second round). Serie‑News, 20 Minutes and other outlets likewise list Camille as still on the Taboga (yellow) tribe and report no withdrawal or medical evacuation for her in any episode broadcast on or before 2026-09-22. I find no supplied source that reports Camille was definitively eliminated, withdrew, or was medically evacuated on or before the cutoff, so the evidence supports that she was an active contestant as of 12:00 PM CEST on 2026-09-23.
Source: programme-tv.netSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThat's how it is
Camille's still in the game as of now, and with only a few days left, barring any drastic changes, she should remain active by the 23rd. Bet on her staying in.

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