Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

30%
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77%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 13The market resolves YES if Rory McIlroy is listed as the 2026 Irish Open champion on the tournament's official final results page or by major outlets, and co-champions count. RTE live updates and Golfweek list Shane Lowry as the winner of the 2026 Amgen Irish Open on 13 September 2026, and none of the provided coverage names McIlroy as champion or co‑champion; he appears lower on the final leaderboard and is noted as the 2025 defending champion. Because McIlroy is not listed among the champions, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settled77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied sources that cover the tournament’s conclusion (RTE live updates and Golfweek) report Shane Lowry as the winner of the 2026 Amgen Irish Open (final leaderboard shows Lowry as champion on 2026-09-13). None of the provided evidence lists Rory McIlroy as the 2026 champion or a co-champion (McIlroy is described as the defending champion from 2025 or shown further down the final leaderboard). Therefore, based on the supplied evidence, Rory McIlroy is not listed as the winner of the 2026 Irish Open.
Source: rte.ieSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledMcIlroy's got strong form coming into this event and the pressure is on. I expect he'll capitalize and secure the win, given the stakes and his recent performances.

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