Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?

🤖 Context

YES if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts strictly fewer than 40 main‑feed items (original posts, quote posts, and reposts; replies are excluded unless they appear on the main feed and are captured) on X from 12:00 PM Eastern Time on September 12, 2026 through 12:00 PM Eastern Time on September 14, 2026, inclusive. Deleted posts count if archival trackers captured them. Settlement will mirror Polymarket's 'Post Counter' tracker and X.com's (@elonmusk) public timeline, with independent contemporaneous reporting accepted as corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 88 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

88

Credits staked

2,256

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 88 predictions and 2.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.