Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?

🤖 Context

YES if the total number of Elon Musk (@elonmusk) main‑feed posts on X from 12:00 PM Eastern Time on August 29, 2026 through 12:00 PM Eastern Time on August 31, 2026 inclusive is strictly fewer than 40, otherwise NO. Reposts and quote posts count, replies do not count unless the mirrored Polymarket Post Counter explicitly includes them, deleted posts count if captured by the Post Counter, and community reposts not captured by the Post Counter do not count. The mirrored Polymarket market's official Post Counter is the primary resolution source, with corroboration allowed from Elon Musk's visible post history on X or reputable news reports.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 73 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

73

Credits staked

2,050

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 73 predictions and 2.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.