Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

62%
+1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 28, 2026 shows at least 370 distinct Renfe long-distance trains had a latest reported delay of 5 minutes or more at any time between 00:00:00 and 23:59:59 local time on August 28, 2026. Count each distinct train once using its latest reported delay, and exclude services not classified as long-distance in Renfe's feed. The market uses Renfe's public real-time open-data train-status feed as the resolution source.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 391 distinct long-distance trains already reported late today, it's reasonable to expect at least 370 delays by tomorrow. Odds are solid this will hit the mark.

62%
+1% last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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