Will at least 21,351 bets be placed on Clutch on August 19?

68%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on August 20 shows at least 350 distinct Renfe long-distance trains that ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of that day, with each train counted once using its latest reported delay. The count includes only services classified as Renfe long-distance in the archive, and canceled services with no latest reported delay are not counted. Resolution according to Renfe's official real-time open-data feed and Clutch's finalized archive computed from that feed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 11 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 359 trains reported late so far today, hitting 350 tomorrow looks very likely. Renfe typically struggles with delays, and we’re just getting started.

68%
Stable · last 24h

31%
+1% last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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