Will at least 20,475 bets be placed on Clutch on August 18?

54%
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84%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 19, 2026 shows the sum of each SNCF train's latest reported delay for trains that were 5 or more minutes late that day is greater than or equal to 95.0 hours, otherwise NO. Fractions of an hour count exactly and an archived total equal to 95.0 hours resolves YES. The source is SNCF's 'Horaires' open-data feed or other official SNCF or French transport-authority publications as archived by Clutch.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 136 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes
With 106.4 cumulative delay hours already logged, it’s highly likely that SNCF will surpass 95 hours by tomorrow. It's a safe bet, given the trend we've seen lately.

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83%
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