Will SNCF have at least 565 delayed trains on August 18?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day of August 18, 2026 shows at least 565 distinct SNCF trains that ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of that day, each train counted once using its latest reported delay. Otherwise NO. Authoritative source: Clutch's finalized archived computation derived from SNCF's real-time open-data feed (the 'Horaires SNCF' dataset). Official SNCF operational publications or major French news outlets reporting the same daily aggregate are acceptable as corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 418 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

418

Credits staked

13,672

Comments

5

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 418 predictions and 13.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 565 delayed trains on August 18?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 565 delayed trains on August 18?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.