Will at least 240 Renfe long-distance trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 16?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 16 shows at least 240 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that day was 5 minutes or more, each train counted once. Otherwise NO. The count covers only Renfe long-distance services and is based on Clutch's finalized archive derived from Renfe's official real-time feed.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

46%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

265

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 46% and NO 54%, based on 12 predictions and 265 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 240 Renfe long-distance trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 240 Renfe long-distance trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.