Will at least 360 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 16?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the calendar day August 16, 2026 shows at least 360 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day was 5 minutes or more, counting each train once. If the archived total equals 360 the market resolves YES, otherwise NO. The authoritative source is Clutch's finalized archived computation based on SNCF's open‑data feed 'horaires‑sncf'.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 73 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

73

Credits staked

2,247

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 73 predictions and 2.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 360 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 360 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.