Will at least 5 gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on August 11?

92%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 12 counts at least 360 distinct Renfe long-distance trains that ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of August 12, each train counted once. The market resolves according to Clutch's finalized archived total computed from Renfe's official real-time open-data feed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 14 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 375 trains already reported late today, it seems likely we'll hit the 360 mark tomorrow. Delays are common, and tomorrow typically brings more traffic.

92%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

35%
+1% last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy