Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 12?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day shows at least 485 distinct SNCF trains had a latest reported delay of 5 minutes or more between local midnight and no later than August 12. Otherwise NO. The total is Clutch's daily aggregate computed from SNCF's official real-time open-data feed.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 179 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

179

Credits staked

5,688

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 179 predictions and 5.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 12?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5 minutes or more late on August 12?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.