OtherOpened Aug 2 · Results Aug 3

Will Renfe's long-distance trains total at least 62 hours of delay on August 3?

28%

Stable · last 24h

📊 72 bettors💎 1.9K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Aug 3

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 3 shows at least 62 hours of cumulative delay for Renfe long-distance trains that were 5 or more minutes late since local midnight. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay, trains with no reported delay at finalization are excluded, and Renfe's classification decides which services are long-distance. The archived total should be according to Renfe's official real-time open-data feed or by public calculations or reputable reporting that reproduce the same final archived total.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

28%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-03 must show cumulative delay >= 62.0 hours for Renfe long-distance trains that were 5+ minutes late since local midnight (each train counted once using its latest reported delay). Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-03. Observed evidence: Clutch finalized daily total at 2026-08-03 22:00 UTC (covers local calendar day ending 2026-08-03 21:59 UTC) reports 189.1 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 499 trains, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when 5+ minutes late. Comparison: 189.1 >= 62.0, so the condition is satisfied -> YES.

Source: clutch.vip