OtherOpened Jul 28 · Results Jul 29

Will SNCF have at least 510 trains delayed on Wednesday, July 29?

55%

Stable · last 24h

📊 464 bettors💎 13.5K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Jul 29

🤖 Context

YES if the number of distinct SNCF trains that Clutch's finalized archived total shows had a latest reported delay of 5 minutes or more during the local calendar day on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 (00:00–23:59:59 CEST, UTC+2) is at least 510, otherwise NO. The count uses each train once with its latest reported delay and is taken from Clutch's finalized archived total computed from the SNCF real-time open-data feed published on the French government's transport open data platform. If that finalized archived total is not available at resolution time, the resolver will wait and retry until it is available.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

55%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total must show at least 510 distinct SNCF trains with a latest reported delay >= 5 minutes during the local calendar day 2026-07-29 (00:00:00+02:00 to 23:59:59+02:00). Target window in UTC: 2026-07-28 22:00:00 UTC to 2026-07-29 21:59:59 UTC. Supplied data: Clutch's daily total (finalized 2026-07-29 22:01 UTC) reports 844 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes; the record states this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-07-29 21:59 UTC (which corresponds to 23:59 CEST). Comparison: 844 >= 510, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.

Source: clutch.vip