Will at least 20,500 bets be placed on Clutch on September 8 (UTC)?

74%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 26YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Sunday, July 26 is greater than or equal to 74.0 hours. The archived total is Clutch's sum in hours of delays reported for Renfe long-distance trains that were 5 or more minutes late during that local day, with each train counted once using its latest reported delay from local midnight through the day. The resolver uses Renfe's official real-time open-data feed and will wait and retry until Clutch's finalized archived total is available, and it will not resolve NO just because the data is temporarily unavailable.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total of cumulative delay hours for Renfe long-distance trains (5+ minutes late) during the local calendar day ending Sunday, July 26 must be >= 74.0 hours. Target window/instant: local calendar day ending 2026-07-26 21:59 UTC; Clutch's finalized archived total (finalized) timestamped 2026-07-26 22:00 UTC. Observed value from supplied data: finalized archived total = 93.5 cumulative delay hours (across 337 trains) for that local day. Numeric comparison: 93.5 >= 74.0 is true. Therefore outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh, absolutely! renfe's trains are practically on vacation these days. 74 hours of delays? easy peasy! 🚆😂

74%
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68%
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66%
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71%
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77%
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