Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

33%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 18The market hinged on whether the nine Bundesliga matches played between 16 and 18 October 2026 produced 34 or more goals in total, using the official final scores at the end of regular time. The official results were Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Cologne, 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund, Hamburg SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart, Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz, SV Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg, Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07, Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg, and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim, which add up to 27 goals. Because 27 is less than the 34-goal threshold, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settled62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: YES if the sum of goals in the official final results for the nine specified Bundesliga fixtures played between 2026-10-16 and 2026-10-18 is 34 or more; otherwise NO. Target window: Friday 16 October 2026 through Sunday 18 October 2026. Observed final scores from the supplied data (complete set of 9 fixtures): Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Cologne (1 goal); 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund (0); Hamburg SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart (1); Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz (1); SV Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg (7); Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07 (4); Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig (7); Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg (3); Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim (3). Sum = 1+0+1+1+7+4+7+3+3 = 27 total goals. Comparison: 27 < 34, so the market resolves NO. The supplied data also states this is the complete set of fixtures for the window and lists no postponements/cancellations.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent scoring trends, it's very likely we'll see 34 or more goals across these matches. Bundesliga teams are consistently finding the net, so expect plenty of action.

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78%
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