Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 12The market required the official Bundesliga league table published at 9:00 AM CEST on October 12, 2026 to list Bayer Leverkusen in one of positions 1 through 4. That official table shows Bayer Leverkusen in 4th place with 10 points from 5 matches, recording 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Because fourth place is inside the required top four, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Bayer Leverkusen must be listed in positions #1–#4 in the official Bundesliga table as published at 2026-10-12T09:00:00+02:00 (09:00 CEST = 07:00 UTC). Target instant: 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC. Supplied observation: the Bundesliga official league table was read at 2026-10-12 07:44 UTC and the data states that no fixture was played between the market's snapshot instant (2026-10-12 07:00 UTC) and this read, so the table shown is the table as it stood at 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC. Observed value: Bayer Leverkusen is listed at position #4 (Pts 10, P 5, W 3, D 1, L 1). Comparison: position 4 is within the required top four (#1–#4). Therefore outcome = YES.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledBayer Leverkusen is currently 5th with 7 points, which makes it unlikely they’ll break into the top 4 by the resolution date. They'll need a solid turnaround in the next matches.

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