Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 4YES if Robert MacIntyre is listed 1st, 2nd, or 3rd on the tournament's official final leaderboard (ties for those positions count), otherwise NO. • Source: DP World Tour official final leaderboard or the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship official results page.
How markets are built and settled61%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Final tournament ranking (October 4, 2026): 1st place: Adrian Meronk (-20 / 268 strokes) 2nd place (tied): Casey Jarvis and Niklas Nørgaard Moller (-18 / 270 strokes) 4th place (tied): Tommy Fleetwood and Michael Stewart (-17 / 271 strokes) Position of Robert MacIntyre: Finished tied for 6th place (T6) with a total of -16 (272 strokes: 71-65-68-68). Having finished in 6th place and outside the top three podium spots, the condition is not met.
Source: alfreddunhilllinks.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledMacIntyre's been in solid form lately, so a top 3 finish is likely. Given the course and his current play, he should be competitive enough to clinch it.

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