Volcano Alert Level

TopicGeology

Live prediction markets about Volcano Alert Level. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

60%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 3 of 5 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

🌋Science·GeologyResults Sep 13

Will Kilauea be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?

24%

Stable · last 24h

91 bets · 2.8K credits1

Details →

Get the app

The full experience is on mobile

+100💎

Install and create your account to win

Get more credits and unlock everything.

Install the app

How it turned out

Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?No

The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 17

Will Kilauea reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?Yes

The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 13

Will Kilauea reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher by 6:00 AM on August 4, 2026?No

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 4

Will Kilauea be put on "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher by 6:00 AM on August 3, 2026?No

The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 3

Will the USGS raise Kilauea to "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher before July 25, 2026?No

The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 25