The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19Earthquake
EventGeology
Live prediction markets about Earthquake. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
80%
of calls the crowd got right
5
markets settled
The crowd called 4 of 5 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
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How it turned out
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 20The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 20