Lead story
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
95%
Final odds
41469 💎 staked1170 bettors1 comment
See the marketResolved Jul 1
Follow the news · July 1, 2026
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
50
Crowd right
69%
Upsets
3
How we count
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report
All results50 results
- Will ChatGPT remain the #1 free app on the US App Store on July 1, 2026?No
crowd 87% yes · 961 players
- Will France’s headline (CPI) inflation rate exceed 1.5% year‑on‑year in June 2026?No
crowd 85% yes · 74 players
- Will SoftBank publicly confirm at least one operational AI data‑centre project in France by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 81% yes · 52 players
- Will Bitcoin close above $60,000 on June 30, 2026?No
crowd 53% yes · 1326 players
- Will England 🏴 beat Congo DR 🇨🇩 in their match on July 1, 2026?Yes
crowd 91% yes · 758 players
- Will Mexico 🇲🇽 beat Ecuador 🇪🇨 in their match on June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 82% yes · 514 players
- Will Bitcoin's price exceed $70,000 by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 87% no · 368 players
- Will Mexico 🇲🇽 beat their opponent in their match on June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 79% yes · 336 players
- Will France record at least one day with temperatures ≥ 35 °C nationwide before June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 68% yes · 189 players
- Will Disiz and Theodora's 'Melodrama' remain in the French Singles Chart Top 5 by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 61% yes · 157 players
- Will Jordan Bardella be the most popular French presidential candidate in polls by June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 93% yes · 156 players
- Will Carpille 🌱 still be #1 on the world Clutch leaderboard at the end of the month?No
crowd 85% no · 135 players
- Will Rihanna and Blackpink’s Jennie perform together on live TV by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 84% no · 115 players
- Will NVIDIA's RTX Spark Superchip be available for purchase by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 89% no · 106 players
- Will Madonna’s “I Feel So Free” enter the Billboard Global 200 Top 50 by June 27, 2026?No
crowd 68% no · 101 players
- Will the RedMagic Gaming Tablet 5 Pro achieve significant sales upon its June 30, 2026 launch?No
crowd 62% yes · 94 players
- Will the OneXPlayer 3 gaming handheld launch globally by June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 59% yes · 77 players
- Will 'La Bataille de Gaulle – L'Âge de fer' exceed 1 million admissions in French cinemas by July 1, 2026?Yes
crowd 73% yes · 71 players
- Will the Jolla (2026) European Linux smartphone begin shipping by June 30, 2026?No
crowd 63% no · 58 players
- Will the “No Angel, Don’t Blame Yourself” meme still be trending on KnowYourMeme on June 30, 2026?No
crowd 76% no · 56 players
- Will Anthropic's export ban on AI models Mythos and Fable be lifted by July 1, 2026?No
crowd 56% no · 54 players
- Will Mistral AI publicly release its ‘Vibe’ enterprise agent platform by end of June 2026?Yes
crowd 74% yes · 46 players
- Will ‘Les Parfait(s)’ exceed 500,000 admissions in France by end of June 2026?No
crowd 78% no · 40 players
- Will a public debate on Europe’s proposed 'Higgs factory' conclude in France by end of June 2026?No
crowd 84% no · 39 players
- Will the Conseil constitutionnel uphold its May 21, 2026 decision to overturn the low‑emission zones repeal when challenged by the government before June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 60% yes · 35 players
- Will Andy Burnham challenge Keir Starmer for Labour Party leadership by June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 69% yes · 22 players
- Will France’s MAGIC‑AVALON airborne campaign produce publicly released greenhouse gas emission maps by end of June 2026?No
crowd 67% no · 15 players
- Will Bitcoin close above $65,000 on June 30, 2026?No
crowd 51% yes · 9 players
- Will Bitcoin and Ethereum close above their current prices on June 30, 2026?No
crowd 67% yes · 9 players
- Will 'Toy Story 5' top the French box office this weekend?Yes
crowd 61% yes · 8 players
- Will the Chicago White Sox finish June 2026 with a winning record?No
crowd 58% yes · 3 players
- Will NPR’s Tiny Desk Black Music Month series include at least one BET icon performing live?Yes
crowd 57% yes · 2 players
- Will Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith be publicly spotted together again by June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 60% no · 2 players
- Will Zendaya publicly comment on skipping the 2026 Met Gala by June 30, 2026?Yes
crowd 53% no · 2 players
- Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of GOP‑backed campaign‑finance or mail‑in ballot restrictions this term?No
crowd 51% yes · 1 player
- Will President Trump’s AI executive order prompt at least one major U.S. AI company to delay a model release beyond the voluntary 30‑day preview window?Yes
crowd 50% yes · 1 player
- Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule by June 30, 2026 on Trump’s birthright citizenship executive order?Yes
crowd 51% yes · 1 player
- Will 'Emily in Paris' Season 6 be released in the U.S. before the end of June 2026?No
crowd 51% no · 1 player
- Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce publicly confirm their wedding has taken place by June 30, 2026?No
50/50 · 0 players
- Will Pentatonix’s Kirstin Maldonado still be playing Anne Boleyn in SIX on Broadway on June 30, 2026?Yes
50/50 · 0 players
- No
- Will Senate GOP Leader John Thune publicly break with Trump on a new issue before June 30, 2026?Yes
50/50 · 0 players
- Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?Yes
50/50 · 0 players
- No
- No
- Will Paul Rudd and Jeremy Sisto publicly reunite again in June 2026?Yes
50/50 · 0 players
- Will Ariana Grande and Ethan Slater publicly confirm they’re back together by June 30, 2026?No
50/50 · 0 players
- Will OpenAI publicly agree to voluntarily share its next AI model with the U.S. government before public release?No
50/50 · 0 players
- Will the Katalyst LINK spacecraft launch before June 30, 2026?Yes
50/50 · 0 players