
A multidão estava 95% confiante, e acertou.
5%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.
Como os mercados resolvidos nesse dia terminaram: as probabilidades, o veredicto e o que a multidão acertou ou errou.

A multidão estava 95% confiante, e acertou.
5%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 58% confiante, e errou.
58%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: Two official pages on TheOpen.com dated 18 July 2026 report that Sam Burns held the 54-hole lead (10-under) after Round 3 and that Lucas Herbert was one stroke further back (seven-under). Those pages explicitly state Burns was leading heading into the final round, so Herbert was not listed first (neither sole nor tied).
Fonte: theopen.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 63% confiante, e errou.
63%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: The World Boxing News live scorecard article (published 2026-07-18) records the official result as 'PAPOT UD' and states that David Papot handed Harlem Eubank the first defeat of his professional career by unanimous decision (reported scores: 113-111, 115-110 and 115-109). The other supplied pages are previews or non-functional links and do not contradict this report. Although the WBN score table contains a formatting inconsistency, the article's official-result text clearly records Papot as the winner; therefore, based on the supplied evidence, Harlem Eubank did not win on 2026-07-18.
Fonte: worldboxingnews.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 56% confiante, e acertou.
56%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: Extracted condition: ProCyclingStats' Stage 14 (Mulhouse > Le Markstein) result page for the 2026 Tour de France must list Tadej Pogačar as the winner (first place) of Stage 14 when the result is posted there by 2026-07-18 20:00 (resolution date). Target instant/window: the Stage 14 result published for the stage dated 18 July 2026. Observed value(s): the supplied ProCyclingStats Stage 14 page (Stage 14 » Mulhouse › Le Markstein, 155.3 km, date 18 July 2026) contains a stage results table with Rank 1 = "Pogačar Tadej" (UAE Team Emirates - XRG) and a stage time shown (4:00:07). The page also shows "Won how: 8.1 km solo" and other stage-specific result tables referencing Pogačar as first. Comparison: the page lists Tadej Pogačar in first place for Stage 14, which satisfies the market condition → YES. No evidence on the supplied page of joint winners or of the Stage 14 result being removed or unpublished.
Fonte: procyclingstats.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 85% confiante, e acertou.
15%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: Contemporaneous race reports for Stage 14 on 18 July 2026 identify Tadej Pogačar as the stage winner. Reuters (2026-07-18) reports that Pogacar launched a decisive attack to 'clinch another solo victory' on Stage 14 and explicitly states Jonas Vingegaard finished fourth. An AP/Pool report (DailyUnion) the same day likewise shows Pogacar winning the fourteenth stage. These independent sources provide positive evidence that Jonas Vingegaard did not win Stage 14, so the correct settlement is NO.
Fonte: reuters.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 63% confiante, e errou.
63%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: Contemporary race reports (dated 2026-07-18) state Tadej Pogacar won Stage 14 with a late solo attack on the Col du Haag, i.e. a solo victory from the peloton/GC group rather than a rider coming from an earlier breakaway. Therefore the stage was not won by a rider from a breakaway group.
Fonte: reuters.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 76% confiante, e acertou.
76%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 73% confiante, e errou.
73%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 77% confiante, e acertou.
77%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 54% confiante, e acertou.
54%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 54% confiante, e acertou.
54%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 53% confiante, e acertou.
53%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 75% confiante, e acertou.
25%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 73% confiante, e acertou.
73%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 88% confiante, e acertou.
12%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 54% confiante, e errou.
54%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 78% confiante, e acertou.
22%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 67% confiante, e acertou.
67%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: The supplied sources show the summit was scheduled for 16–17 July 2026 (UNAOC media advisory, 2026-07-08) and provide direct proof it proceeded on the opening day: UNAOC’s official YouTube channel published a 3h+ livestream titled “Day 1: Luanda — A Call for Peace…” with a publication date of 2026-07-16 showing the opening ceremony and speeches. Independent news coverage (news.nate.com) also documents the opening on 16 July 2026. None of the supplied pages contains any announcement that the event was canceled or postponed before the scheduled dates. Therefore, based on the provided evidence, the summit was not canceled or postponed prior to 16–17 July 2026.
Fonte: youtube.comResolvido em 18 de jul.

A multidão estava 70% confiante, e acertou.
70%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: The official UEFA Champions League fixtures/results page for 14 July 2026 shows the second-leg match The New Saints vs Sabah with the note 'Agg: 1-4 — Sabah win' (full time). That indicates Sabah won the tie on aggregate and advanced to the next round.
Fonte: uefa.comResolvido em 18 de jul.
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