Elon Musk publicará menos de 40 vezes no X durante a janela de 3 dias?

Porquê: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES iff Polymarket's Post Counter/tracker (the mirrored Polymarket question) shows Elon Musk made strictly fewer than 40 main‑feed posts (quotes and reposts count; replies do not unless tracked as main‑feed; deleted posts count only if captured) during the inclusive window 2026-08-20 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-22 12:00 PM ET. Target window: 2026-08-20 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-22 12:00 PM ET. Observed data (from supplied Polymarket official market state): the mirrored Polymarket market for that question is marked resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (resolution status: resolved). That official Polymarket resolution corresponds to NO (i.e., Polymarket determined the condition “<40 posts” was not met). The rule text directs this market to resolve identically to Polymarket’s official resolution, so this market resolves NO.