CiênciaAbertura 17 de jul. · Resultados a 20 de jul.

Will Chile record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater before July 21, 2026?

50%

Estável · últimas 24 h

📊 0 apostador💎 0 em jogo

ResolvidoSim

Resolvido: Sim

Resultados a 20 de jul.

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) earthquake catalog lists one or more events with reported magnitude 4.6 or greater whose origin time is on or after 00:00 UTC on July 18, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on July 21, 2026, and whose epicenter lies inside the Chile box defined for this market. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Como os mercados são criados e resolvidos

Como este mercado foi resolvido

Sim

50%

Probabilidade final da comunidade

A multidão estava 50% confiante, e acertou.

Porquê: Extracted condition: USGS catalog must list ≥1 event with reported magnitude ≥4.6, origin time ≥2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and <2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, and epicenter inside lat ∈[-56,-17], lon ∈[-76,-66]. Observed data (from supplied USGS query result): 1 matching earthquake — 2026-07-19 14:25 UTC, M4.7, lat -33.9224, lon -73.3832. Comparison: magnitude 4.7 ≥ 4.6 (satisfies); origin time 2026-07-19T14:25:00+00:00 is within the interval [2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00, 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00) (satisfies); coordinates (-33.9224, -73.3832) lie inside the specified box (satisfies). All resolution criteria met, so YES.

Fonte: earthquake.usgs.gov