Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 31This market will resolve to 'YES' if Zendaya's character, MJ, dies in the movie 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' released on July 31, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if she survives the film.
How markets are built and settled29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent contemporary reviews and ending/explainer pieces in the supplied evidence describe MJ as an active, living character in Spider-Man: Brand New Day and make no report that she dies. Daily Bruin (2026-07-31) and Yahoo Entertainment’s ending-explained article describe scenes of MJ at the film’s end (Yahoo explicitly notes MJ “holding the broken Black Dahlia necklace”); DeepFocusReview (2026-07-28) and The SunBreak (2026-07-31) likewise discuss MJ’s role and Peter’s recovery. Because three or more independent outlets in the provided evidence unambiguously report that MJ does not die, the correct settlement is NO.
Source: yahoo.comSources used to resolve this market
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