🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Oct 27
Will Ariana Grande have over 14 million daily views on any day?
66%
+3% last 24h
1038 bets · 41K credits14
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CultureOpened Aug 30 · Results Sep 6
Will WILDCHILD by Alex Warren earn more than 60,000 album-equivalent units?
35%
Stable · last 24h
📊 426 bettors💎 8.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 6🤖 Context
The market required WILDCHILD by Alex Warren to have strictly more than 60,000 U.S. album-equivalent units in the tracking week from August 28 to September 3, 2026, based on Luminate’s U.S. album-equivalent units reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following that week, and settled according to Kalshi’s final determination for ticker KXALBUMEQUIV-WIL26SEP03-60K. Kalshi’s final determination, reflecting Luminate’s report as of 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, September 6, 2026, indicates the album-equivalent total for that week exceeded 60,000. Because the reported total was strictly greater than 60,000, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: WILDCHILD by Alex Warren must have strictly greater than 60,000 U.S. Album Equivalent Units during the Aug 28, 2026 - Sep 03, 2026 tracking week, measured by Luminate's U.S. API value as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following that week. Target measurement date (the Sunday immediately following the tracking week): 2026-09-06. Observed data from the supplied source: Kalshi ticker KXALBUMEQUIV-WIL26SEP03-60K shows Official status: finalized and Official finalized result: YES. Per the market's rule, the Kalshi finalized result is the authoritative settlement signal; Kalshi's finalized YES indicates the Luminate value exceeded 60,000, so the market resolves YES.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 35%
- Predictions made
- 426
- Credits staked
- 8,379
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 30, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 7, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 2 💎
I doubt WILDCHILD will hit 60,000 units. With only a few days left and no pre-release buzz evident, it seems unlikely to cross that threshold.
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