Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
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56%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Walmart enables contactless tap-to-pay that includes Apple Pay at one or more physical U.S. Walmart or Sam's Club checkout terminals on August 24, 2026, as shown by Walmart's corporate newsroom announcement or contemporaneous reporting from major news organizations (for example Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or tech press) that a U.S. store accepted Apple Pay on that date. Otherwise NO. If Walmart posts a press release announcing the rollout but the store-level pilot was postponed and no store actually accepted Apple Pay on August 24, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTwo days out, no signs yet from Walmart about accepting Apple Pay. With just a short window left, it’s unlikely they’ll pull this off in time.

90%
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62%
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70%
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55%
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33%
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62%
Stable · last 24h
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