Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima produce at least one exhalation or explosion that emits volcanic ash?

🤖 Context

YES if an authoritative agency bulletin (SMN/CONAGUA, CENAPRED, or the University of Colima's UCOL-CUEV technical bulletin) or at least two independent Mexican national or regional news outlets explicitly report that Volcán de Fuego de Colima produced an exhalation or explosion that emitted volcanic ash between 21:00 on September 8, 2026 and no later than 09:00 on September 9, 2026 (UTC−06:00). The report must use explicit phrasing such as "emisión de ceniza" or "expulsó ceniza". Reports that describe only gas or steam do not count, and social media posts alone do not qualify.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 5 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

29%

Predictions made

5

Credits staked

80

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 8, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 29% and NO 71%, based on 5 predictions and 80 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima produce at least one exhalation or explosion that emits volcanic ash?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima produce at least one exhalation or explosion that emits volcanic ash?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.