Will Tropical Storm Norbert make landfall in Mexico?

🤖 Context

YES if the center of circulation of the tropical cyclone named Norbert is recorded as crossing the Mexican coastline onto Mexican land, including Mexican islands, at any time no later than 00:00 on September 16, 2026, Central Time. Proof may be an explicit advisory or statement by SMN/CONAGUA or by NOAA, an official storm-position/best-track record from SMN/CONAGUA or NOAA showing the storm center on Mexican land before that time, or matching reports from at least two independent reputable news organizations that clearly state Norbert made landfall in Mexico with agency attribution. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

110

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 2 predictions and 110 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Norbert make landfall in Mexico?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Norbert make landfall in Mexico?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.