Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

63%
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YES if, no later than August 31, 2026, an official advisory by the National Hurricane Center or another responsible tropical‑cyclone warning center explicitly calls the system "Hurricane Lowell" or lists one‑minute maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph. NO otherwise. Classification under a different name does not count, and a post‑season reanalysis that first declares Lowell a hurricane after August 31, 2026 does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 107 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just two days left, it’s unlikely Lowell will reach hurricane status. Current forecasts don’t suggest sufficient intensity, so I doubt it will happen before the deadline.

63%
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50%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

58%
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50%
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72%
Stable · last 24h
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