Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

62%
-1% last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than 12:00 on September 2, 2026, an official source (the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service office covering Puerto Rico) or widely cited wire reporting (AP, Reuters, major US broadcasters) states that Dolly’s center (the cyclone’s eye or center of circulation) crossed the coastline of the main island of Puerto Rico. Heavy impacts from outer bands without the storm center crossing do not count. Post-season reanalysis after this cutoff does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledDolly is tracking toward Puerto Rico and time is running out; the National Hurricane Center's advisories show a landfall is likely. I'd bet YES on this one.

62%
-1% last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h

74%
-1% last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

49%
-1% last 24h
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