Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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YES if, no later than August 31, 2026, there is public, citable evidence that Djed Spence has joined Inter Milan on a permanent transfer or a loan. Evidence includes an Inter Milan official announcement, a Tottenham Hotspur official announcement, an Inter or Lega Serie A registration listing him as an Inter player, or reports from major independent outlets such as BBC, Reuters, Sky Sports or ESPN. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 29 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSpence is still unconfirmed and time is running out. Given how silent things are, I'm betting it won't happen by the deadline.

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91%
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43%
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21%
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26%
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27%
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