Will thunderstorms with hail and very strong wind gusts affect the eastern Pyrenees on August 11?

🤖 Context

YES if, for the local date August 11, 2026, there is publicly accessible reporting that explicitly states thunderstorms producing both hail and very strong wind gusts affected the eastern Pyrenees (Pirineo oriental) or its immediate surrounding areas in Spain. Preferred evidence is an AEMET observational report or post-event bulletin. An official statement by provincial or city emergency services, or reporting by at least two independent Spanish news organizations (for example EFE plus another) that explicitly mention both hail and very strong wind gusts on that date is also acceptable. Social-media-only reports do not count, and a report that mentions only one of the two phenomena does not satisfy the condition; otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 7 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

7

Credits staked

195

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 7 predictions and 195 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will thunderstorms with hail and very strong wind gusts affect the eastern Pyrenees on August 11?” real-money betting?

No. “Will thunderstorms with hail and very strong wind gusts affect the eastern Pyrenees on August 11?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.