Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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56%
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YES if the official lap chart, official race report, or final race classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix on 23 August 2026 published by the FIA or Formula1.com records one or more full Safety Car deployments, listed as “Safety Car” or “SC”. Virtual Safety Car (VSC) periods alone do not count. If the race is abandoned and no official lap chart or report exists, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 38 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the potential for incidents on a high-speed track like Zandvoort, I expect at least one full Safety Car deployment. It's a likely scenario based on past races here.

94%
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50%
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50%
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50%
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27%
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17%
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