Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 16This market will resolve to YES if the men's singles final at Wimbledon 2026 lasts longer than 3 hours, and to NO if it lasts 3 hours or less. The official match duration, as reported by the All England Lawn Tennis Club, will be used to determine the outcome.
How markets are built and settled70%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Contemporary reports in the supplied evidence state the final lasted well over three hours. Al Jazeera (AFP) reports the match lasted “three hours and 46 minutes” on Centre Court (published 12 Jul 2026). WBZ/iHeart reports it lasted “nearly four hours” at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Both supplied sources therefore indicate the match duration exceeded 3 hours.
Source: aljazeera.comSources used to resolve this market
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