🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 10 · Results Sep 12
Will the Russian vessel seized by Norway be returned to Russian custody?
20%
-3% last 24h
465 bets · 10.8K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 22 · Results Jul 30
Will the US carry out an armed strike on Pickaxe Mountain near Natanz before July 29, 2026?
21%
Stable · last 24h
📊 211 bettors💎 5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 30🤖 Context
YES if the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or the U.S. Department of State publishes an official press release, statement, or news release on their official website on or before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on July 29, 2026 that explicitly states U.S. forces conducted an armed strike on Pickaxe Mountain or on the underground nuclear facility near Natanz. Otherwise NO. If only third party media reports or social media posts exist without a corresponding official release on those websites by the deadline, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No21%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 21%
- Predictions made
- 211
- Credits staked
- 4,997
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 22, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 23, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
nah, ain't gonna happen. the US loves to talk big but rarely pulls the trigger on these things. more likely just some hot air. 😏
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