Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
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74%
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YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, the UK government either publishes a White Paper or formal public consultation that explicitly proposes creating nine or more regional bodies whose responsibilities include planning for, setting objectives for, and holding water companies to account, or introduces a Bill in Parliament whose text explicitly proposes creating nine or more such bodies. The outcome will be determined from GOV.UK, the UK Parliament Bill register, or credible reporting by two or more independent news outlets. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 401 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the pressing issues around water management in the UK, it’s highly likely that the government will propose these bodies to enhance accountability by 2026. Expect movement on this soon.

12%
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60%
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40%
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64%
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11%
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46%
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