Will the U.S. military destroy a new Iranian-linked oil tanker?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 16, 2026, two or more independent major news outlets report that the U.S. military publicly announced or was credibly reported to have destroyed at least one additional oil tanker linked to Iran. An official statement from the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Central Command would count as such reporting. 'Destroyed' means sunk, irreparably disabled, or rendered non-operational by U.S. military action. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the U.S. military destroy a new Iranian-linked oil tanker?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the U.S. military destroy a new Iranian-linked oil tanker?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.