Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

89%
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26%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 2, 2026, Google publicly and explicitly states that the Google Messages RCS connection error shown as "Trouble connecting. Awaiting retry." has been fixed. Acceptable evidence includes an official Google Support article, an official Google blog or press statement, or Google Play Store release notes that explicitly reference fixing that message, and independent reporting from major tech outlets that cite Google's official communication is also acceptable. If Google only says the issue is under investigation or planned, or if Google limits a deployed fix to other carriers/devices and does not include Samsung Galaxy devices without independent confirmation, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 26%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt Google will provide a clear fix for this error before the deadline. They've been vague about it, and independent reporting hasn't indicated a resolution is coming soon.

89%
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48%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

24%
-9% last 24h

82%
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40%
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