🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
80%
+41% last 24h
2384 bets · 73.6K credits8
Details →
ScienceResults Jul 1
Will the record‑breaking solar radio burst observed in August 2025 end before June 30 , 2026?
29%
Stable · last 24h
📊 18 bettors💎 515 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
YES if official solar observation data confirm that the unusually prolonged solar radio burst detected in August 2025 has definitively ceased (no further emissions at comparable intensity) before June 30 , 2026; NO if the burst is still ongoing or re‑emerged at similar intensity by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 29%
- Predictions made
- 18
- Credits staked
- 515
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 29, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- science.nasa.gov, sciencedaily.com, dailygalaxy.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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