Will the Pacific disturbance Invest 90E make landfall on the Big Island of Hawaiʻi?

🤖 Context

YES if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) publishes an operational advisory no later than August 26, 2026 stating the storm’s center crossed the coastline of the island of Hawaiʻi (Big Island). The advisory must explicitly describe the storm’s center crossing the shoreline; reports of heavy rain, storm surge, or impacts without that advisory statement do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 3 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

3

Credits staked

135

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 3 predictions and 135 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Pacific disturbance Invest 90E make landfall on the Big Island of Hawaiʻi?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Pacific disturbance Invest 90E make landfall on the Big Island of Hawaiʻi?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.