Will the oil tanker Caroline Bezengi be completely sunk?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 15, 2026, an official maritime or government source (for example Omani maritime authorities or the International Maritime Organization) or at least two major independent news agencies (for example AP, Reuters, BBC) report the tanker Caroline Bezengi has sunk, foundered, is no longer afloat, or is declared a total loss. Reports that explicitly state the vessel remains partly afloat, is under salvage and still afloat, is only "partly submerged", or is "capsized but afloat" resolve NO. Official Omani maritime statements take precedence over conflicting media reports. If there is no official statement, corroboration by two major independent outlets is required.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 29 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

53%

Predictions made

29

Credits staked

921

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 8, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 15, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 53% and NO 47%, based on 29 predictions and 921 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the oil tanker Caroline Bezengi be completely sunk?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the oil tanker Caroline Bezengi be completely sunk?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.