Will the Massif du Claps wildfire have burned more than 600 hectares?

🤖 Context

YES if an authoritative official source (preferably the Préfecture de la Drôme or the Drôme departmental fire service) or a major wire service (AFP, Franceinfo, TF1, Le Monde) publishes an explicit numeric estimate that the total area burned by the Massif du Claps wildfire is greater than 600 hectares no later than 12:00 on August 11, 2026. Statements given only as a range or as qualitative terms count as YES only if they clearly imply a value above 600 hectares (for example “more than 600 hectares” or a stated lower bound >600). Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 101 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

101

Credits staked

2,519

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 101 predictions and 2.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Massif du Claps wildfire have burned more than 600 hectares?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Massif du Claps wildfire have burned more than 600 hectares?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.