🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
81%
+40% last 24h
2506 bets · 78.4K credits8
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ScienceResults Jul 1
Will the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS still exhibit a deuterium-to-hydrogen ratio at least 20× higher than Earth's oceans by end of June 2026?
47%
Stable · last 24h
📊 13 bettors💎 291 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
YES if peer‑reviewed measurements published by end of June 2026 confirm that 3I/ATLAS’s D/H ratio remains at least 20 times higher than Earth's ocean standard. NO otherwise (either published measurements report a lower ratio, or no peer‑reviewed confirmation appears by that date).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes47%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 47%
- Predictions made
- 13
- Credits staked
- 291
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 29, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nature.com, almaobservatory.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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