Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?

34%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official final communique issued for the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting in Asheville includes explicit language calling for new measures to clamp down on Iran's financial transactions or for sanctions or restrictions on banks that facilitate transactions with Iran. The evidence can be the official communique itself or credible reporting of the communique's text by two or more independent authoritative news outlets (for example AP, Reuters, BBC). Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 20 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt we'll see any explicit calls for sanctions against banks dealing with Iran. The G20 tends to shy away from direct confrontations like this, even if the situation justifies it.

34%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

34%
Stable · last 24h

28%
-20% last 24h

32%
-3% last 24h

36%
+1% last 24h
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