Will a majority of valid votes in Guinea-Bissau's August 30 referendum be 'Yes' to give the president expanded powers?

90%
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86%
Stable · last 24h
YES if credible reporting by at least two independent authoritative news outlets states that, on September 3, 2026 (Spain local date), the Cortes de Castilla‑La Mancha convened and held an ordinary plenary session and business was conducted in that plenary. Preferably this appears on the Cortes de Castilla‑La Mancha official session calendar or in an official press release, but ordinary reporting by two independent outlets (for example EFE plus another national or regional outlet) is sufficient to resolve YES. If the scheduled plenary was formally cancelled or postponed before it began, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that the session is just two days away and should be confirmed by multiple outlets, I'd say the plenary will likely happen. Looks solid for a YES.

90%
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58%
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79%
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33%
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26%
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31%
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