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Discover·Science·Detail
ScienceCloses Oct 14 · Results Oct 15

Will the 2026‑27 El Niño be officially classified by NOAA as “very strong” (Niño‑3.4 ≥ +2 °C)?

66%

Stable · last 24h

📊 1 bettor💎 10 at stake
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🤖 Context

This market resolves YES if NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) officially categorizes the upcoming 2026‑27 El Niño as “very strong” (Niño‑3.4 index ≥ +2 °C) in its official seasonal outlook or ENSO strength classification (e.g., October forecast). It resolves NO if NOAA does not make that classification.

🔍 Sources

Sources used to create this market

  • 🔗
    livescience.comlivescience.com
  • 🔗
    gfdl.noaa.govgfdl.noaa.gov

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