Will Apple announce a new HomePod‑branded hardware product?

66%
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67%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 30Resolves YES if Tesla publicly unveils (shows photos, video, or a live demonstration of) a second-generation Roadster during an official Tesla-hosted event on October 1, 2026 Pacific Time (UTC-07:00). Acceptable evidence includes an official Tesla press release, a Tesla.com livestream or video dated October 1, 2026, an official Tesla newsroom or social post dated that day stating the vehicle was unveiled, or mainstream news reports that quote such Tesla statements or livestream content. Teasers without a public showing, private non-public demos, or a cancelled/postponed event with no statement that the Roadster was unveiled on that date resolve NO.
How markets are built and settled67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Tesla's site has changed the countdown to 15 days on its official site. It is also announced on Tesla's official X page. Other sources also report this delay, such as Sportactu, the web journal.
Source: tesla.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledTesla's been teasing this for a while, and with two weeks to go, I expect them to deliver. A public unveiling seems likely given the hype.

66%
-2% last 24h

78%
Stable · last 24h

23%
-4% last 24h

96%
+1% last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h

63%
+2% last 24h
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