Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on 12 September 2026 (local date), two or more independent reputable news outlets report that temporary tents are physically installed on the Poniente dock of the Port of Ceuta and are being used by Spanish government authorities (for example Ministerio de Transportes, Delegación del Gobierno en Ceuta, Interior, or Guardia Civil) to accommodate migrants. If reports show tents are present but are not being used by Spanish authorities to house migrants, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a week left, the Spanish authorities are likely preparing for this situation. Reports can easily surface that tents are being used for migrants, so I'm betting on a yes here.

69%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

15%
Stable · last 24h

61%
-3% last 24h

40%
-6% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy